Fan Mail: By the Numbers Part 3
Christian Mora from the University of Texas – Arlington writes us again with his ever-popular Los Angeles Kings spreadsheet and analysis. Again, this is a very solid read which is why I post it every time he writes in. Follow him on Twitter.
The season is 40% done and what a difference 8 games can make. We more than doubled the point output of the last chunk and scored 11 more goals and gave up 7 less. An 18 goal differential is HUGE for 8 games. I have thus concluded that scoring more goals and stopping more shots will win you games. Shocker, I know.
5on5 play is still average at .97, the power play numbers are beginning to look like a roller coaster, and the penalty kill is now only as bad as Anaheim’s.
A lot has been said about our perfect win percentage when winning after 2 periods but I personally don’t find it all that impressive considering there are 6 other teams out there touting the same stat and that we often blow that lead before somehow managing a way to take it back, even it takes an OT or a SO.
The Kings are currently sporting 5 players amongst the top 60 in points. Kopitar is 4th with 36. Stoll, Doughty, and Brown are 51st, 52nd, and 53rd, all with 24 (1 point ahead of Connie’s Matt Moulson), and Smyth is 58th with 23 points despite having only played 22 games. I find this very encouraging because at the end of last year you would find the highest scoring King at 45th and you would need to go to 170th to find our 5th highest scorer. Let’s hope they keep it up and have more players creep up the rankings.
Wayne Simmonds needs to find a way to score 4 points in the next 50 games to match his rookie season’s output while Drew Doughty needs only 3 points to do so. Brad Richardson scored more goals between 12/1/09 and 12/5/09 than he did in his previous 2 years at the NHL level.
Last season we managed 4 out of a possible 12 points against the Sharks while only winning our final game outright. This season we have gained 5 points and 2 wins on them already. Before every game KingsCast asks for final score predictions on Facebook and I find it interesting in what people think will happen. Understandably, the predictions are not as nice looking against the likes of the league’s powerhouses but I think the Kings have held their own and surprised us. I wonder how long it will take for us to expect the Kings to win or even compete with the San Joses, the Calgarys, and the Detroits. I eagerly anticipate the day.
Here’s to hoping the Staples Center event schedulers have to actually coordinate with the Lakers come April.
Once again, thank you Christian for your coverage of the Los Angeles Kings! What do you think about Christian’s number-crunching?